The New Mexico Lobos host the Boise State Broncos on Friday night in Albuquerque as the teams begin their Week 2 Mountain West Conference college football slate. But after a week with serious question marks over Boise State — and a quarterback controversy — the Lobos are enjoying a convincing win. New Mexico faces an FCS foe to start the season, and looked impressive in a 41-0 win over Maine. Despite the Black Bears’ FCS standings, the upset was pointed against the Lobos, who had the worst offense in the FBS last season. The Broncos’ offense wasn’t quite what it was called for in Saturday’s opener against Oregon State, turning the ball over five times in a 34-17 loss. Boise State has won 11 of the 12 all-time meetings between these teams, including a 37-0 home loss last November.
Kick-off at the University Stadium is set for 9 p.m. The Broncos are 16.5-point favorites at Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Boise State vs. New Mexico odds, and the over/under is 44 for total points. Before you lock in the picks for New Mexico and Boise State, take a look at college football. Predictions and betting tips from the sports line projection model.
The sports line projection model has simulated every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, a proprietary computer model against the spread has generated a staggering profit of nearly $3,500 for 100 players on top-rated college football picks. In the year They entered Week 2 of the 2022 college football season at 48-37 across all top-rated college football broadcasts and money line picks through 2021. Anyone who has followed this has seen huge returns.
Now, the model is locked in with Boise State vs. New Mexico and has just revealed its picks and CFB projections. You can now go to the Sport line to see the model options. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for New Mexico and Boise State:
Boise State vs. New Mexico Spread: Broncos -17.5Boise State vs. New Mexico over/under: 44 points Boise State vs. New Mexico money line: Broncos -800, Lobos +550 BSU: Was 7-5 ATS last season, 5-1 on the road NM: Was 1-11 ATS in 2021, 0-6 at home vs. Boise State. New Mexico picks: See picks here.
Featured game | New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos
Why Boise State can cover.
Boise State is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with the Lobos and has won all five straight. He has won four of those by at least 28 points, except for a 14-point victory in 2017. Senior quarterback Hank Bachmeier was expected to be a key part of the team’s success, but struggled mightily against the Beavers. He threw two interceptions and lost a fumble before being benched in the second quarter. Redshirt freshman Tylen Green replaced him, throwing for 155 yards and rushing for 102, including a jaw-dropping 74-yard run late in the third quarter.
The defense had its issues in the opener, allowing 470 yards, Boise State not pushing like Maine. The Lobos managed just 102 yards in the November meeting, and the Broncos will be sure to continue their success in this series. George Holany rushed for 114 yards in last year’s game and averaged 4.8 yards per carry last season. After rushing for 9 yards on 13 carries last week, he should be back. New Mexico QB Myles Kendrick threw two interceptions last week, so the Broncos’ defense, which had 23 receiving routes, could upset him.
Why can New Mexico cover it?
New Mexico got big contributions from several newcomers when they took on Maine last weekend. The Lobos piled up 437 yards, 267 on the ground while allowing just 118. Kansas transfer Myles Kendrick shined at quarterback, completing 14 of 17 throws for 170 yards and rushing for another 40. Under 20, junior college transfer Shroud White leads the way with 58 and two touchdowns on 13 carries. Arizona State transfer Jordan Porter was the top receiver with 54 yards and one touchdown.
Speedy freshman receiver Jahmar Sanders made an impact with two rushes for 25 yards and a TD. Sophomore Luke Wysong was a force all over the field, rushing for 43 yards and catching three passes for 51. Led by respected coordinator Rocky Long, the Lobos defense is built around a solid lineup of linebackers in Rico Hanna, Ray Lutele and Sierra Reilly. Hanna had 1.5 sacks last week in his first action since a knee injury last season. The unit forced two turnovers and had three sacks in last week’s win.
How Boise State does elections from New Mexico
The model simulated the New Mexico vs. Boise State matchup 10,000 times, and the results are in: The model is showing overs in total points, suggesting that one team could benefit from multiple turnovers. The model also says that one side of the distribution hits well over 50%. You can only see the model’s New Mexico and Boise State selections on SportsLine.
So who will win Friday night’s New Mexico vs. Boise State matchup? And which part of the distribution is more than 50%? Visit SportsLine now to see which side Boise State vs. New Mexico is headed to Friday, all from Advanced Model running 48-37 on the top-rated college football polls and find out.